January 30, 2016

what good is our equity f&o market up to?

A story, I wrote a week ago, on whether our equity derivatives story is up to providing depth, liquidity, breadth and innovative products to investors for hedging and other uses during times of stress in the markets:




THE DOMESTIC EQUITY FUTURES AND OPTIONS MARKET: WHAT GOOD IS IT UP TO, REALLY?
 

The very beginning of the new calendar year has seen stock markets worldwide, including our own, grappling with a host of factors causing fear and pain. Under these difficult circumstances there is one equity market which tends to play the valuable role of a shock absorber: the equity derivatives market or the equity futures and options (F&O) market as it popularly known here.

To be sure, the domestic equity derivatives market is likely to play an important role as a shock absorber in case the Indian stock market keeps getting hit by the raised risk levels of global economic slowdown and the consequences of sustained currency devaluation by China. It plays the role of a buffer for foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), as well as domestic investors, where they can come to and execute their portfolio hedging strategies and other protection measures (see box: The most basic hedging strategy).

And, that role, being an ongoing role, is already being played out in the current month which has already seen two major bouts of market shocks involving sharp fall in global equity indices, including our Nifty 50 index and S&P BSE Sensex index.

The one which took place on Wednesday this week was the latest. According to Chandan Taparia, a senior technical analyst at Anand Rathi Broking’s retail research desk, FPIs were quick to take note of the heightened market volatility. He said the kind of buying in index options contracts which FPIs have done in the current month has not been seen in the past couple of years. “Since the start of the new month series this month, FPIs have been buying and selling in index options which we have not seen in the last few years. This indicates that the FPIs are doing two things – they are hedging in a big way and they are playing the volatility in he market,” he added.

Indeed, the domestic equity market ecosystem has had a robust equity derivatives (futures and options) market for most part of the last 16 years after it went live in June 2000 with initially only index futures trading. But given its current contours is the equity derivatives market micro-structure well placed to be an effective shock absorber?
 

FPIs have been selling in the equity cash market and in January their net outflows, as of January 20, was Rs 8,340 crore. They have been net sellers for the most part since May last year, monthly FPI net investment data put up by the National Securities Depository (under direction from the Securities and Exchange Board of India) shows. Barring July and November of 2015 the domestic equity market has witnessed FPI net outflows.

Have a look at the net outflow figures: Rs 5,770 crore in May, Rs 3,340 crore in June, Rs 16,880 crore in August, Rs 6,480 crore in September, Rs 7,070 crore in November and Rs 2,820 crore in December.

Clearly, therefore, the January (till 20) FPI net outflow level of Rs 8,340 crore, if it sustains around that level at the end of the month, would be the second-highest since May 2015 when the FPI net outflows in equities began.

While future forecasts, of whether global equity jitters will continue and whether it will lead to a meltdown in equity markets worldwide, may or may not get it right eventually. But what can help enormously is the ability of large investors such as the FPIs to be able to execute multiple trading strategies in the equity derivatives market to play out, temporarily, their portfolio protection strategies as well as any other which they want to execute to optimise their returns from the Indian equity market.

So, it that happening? “Yes,” says Siddharth Bhamre, head of derivatives and technical at Angel Broking, “No matter how large your portfolio is you can hedge in our equity derivatives market. There is enough liquidity in the Nifty F&O contracts as well as in 30-40 large-cap stocks in the stock F&O contracts.”
 

A FC Research Bureau analysis of Capitaline data on FPI investments in different types of equity F&O contracts revealed the exact numbers behind the assertion by Anand Rathi’s Taparia that FPIs were buying and selling in very large quantities in the current month as a response to the global market crash in the first week of January.

Our analysis shows that in the first 13 days of the new month series which began from January 1, and till January 19, the net buying action by FPIs in index options on the National Stock Exchange’s equity F&O segment was Rs 11,800 crore.

While this high level of net buying has been seen 3-4 times in the last 24 months, as per our analysis, what is unprecedented is the aggregate level of buying and selling by FPIs which was to the tune of Rs 3,84,100 crore in purchases and Rs 3,72,200 crore in sales.

It added up to a very large gross FPI trading value in index options of Rs 7,56,300 crore. The last biggest level in the last two years was in March last year, when the first 13 days of the new month series saw total FPI trades in index options to the tune of Rs 3,83,900 crore. The average monthly figure, in the analysed period, was Rs 2,75,700 crore.



FPIs dabbling in equity derivatives
FPIs increased their use of three of the four
derivatives instruments in CY15 over CY14




CY14 CY15
Index Futures - Buy 2480 2575
Index Futures - Sell 2444 2601
Index Options - Buy 14451 16840
Index Options - Sell 14035 16290
Stock Futures - Buy 4879 5213
Stock Futures - Sell 5013 5188
Stock Options - Buy 2004 1869
Stock Options - Sell 2026 1888



Figures in Rs crore, represent daily average
CY: calendar year




Source: Capitaline (source:Sebi).
Analysed by FCRB.


The average daily traded value (including notional value for options contracts) in the entire equity F&O segment of NSE in January, till 21, was Rs 2,63,030 crore, which represented a jump of 25 per cent over the previous month’s average daily figure of Rs 2,10,500 crore. Index options notional turnover made up for 75 per cent of total turnover in the current month, till January 21, and averaged Rs 1,98,700 crore per day, which was 28 per cent more than the previous month’s average daily level.
 

This brings us to the mix of derivatives products available to large and small investors, institutional and retail, foreign or domestic. There are five equity F&O products available to investors, namely index futures, index options, stock futures, stock options, and volatility futures.
 

In the current financial year 2015-16 (FY16), till mid-January, 75 per cent of all equity F&O turnover on the NSE has been in index options, while stock futures’ share was 13 per cent, and those of index futures and stock options were 7 per cent and 5 per cent respectively.

According to Bhamre, for the institutional investor the futures contract is a better hedge than the options contracts. “Today, more than 80 per cent of trading is in options—index and stocks. The ideal mix would have been to have 60-65 per cent trades in options and the balance in futures.” Bhamre has a point if one looks at the historical mix on the NSE.

Index options had a share of just around 10 per cent during FY07 and FY08. This was, in fact, the last time when the domestic equity market had undergone a large fall on the back of global meltdown in financial markets following the global financial crisis. At that time stock futures was the pre-dominant traded derivatives instrument with a 50 per cent share, followed by about 30 per cent share of index futures.



The historical mix




Stock-based derivatives' share fell from 30% to 20% in last few years

Share in total equity F&O turnover:


Index futures Index options Stock futures Stock options

FY03 10 2 65 23 100
FY04 26 2 61 10 100
FY05 30 5 58 7 100
FY06 31 7 58 4 100
FY07 35 11 52 3 100
FY08 29 10 58 3 100
FY09 32 34 32 2 100
FY10 22 45 29 3 100
FY11 15 63 19 4 100
FY12 11 72 13 3 100
FY13 8 72 14 6 100
FY14 8 73 13 6 100
FY15 7 72 15 6 100
FY16 7 75 13 5 100







Figures in per cent, represent share in total equity equity F&O turnover
Put a * in FY16, and say the following in the footnote *till mid-January






Source: National Stock Exchange. Analysed by FC Research Bureau

Bhamre thinks the Indian investor psyche of not paying a higher rate of down-payment in the form of margins or any other means when entering into a forward contract is the reason why options has taken off in a big way. A futures trade attracts 10-15 per cent initial margin and also attracts a marked to market margin every day. In case of options, the buyer just pays a premium, which varies from 0.5 per cent to 3.0 per cent of the notional value of the trade. This is perceived by the lay investor as being cheaper by 5-10 times. The seller of options, of course, is subject to rigorous margins, including the marked-to-market options.

Another indicator of the action in equity F&O comes from the Sebi data giving investor category-wise share of turnover in equity derivatives. As per the latest monthly bulletin of Sebi, in the January-November 2015 period, the FPI share in NSE’s equity derivatives segment ranged from a low of 9.1 per cent in July to a high of 13.8 per cent in April. Proprietary account share of F&O brokers ranged from 47.7 per cent to 51.5 per cent, while individual (and other non-institutional investors) investor share ranged from 13.5 per cent to 15.9 per cent.

Mutual funds accounted for just 0.2 per cent to 0.7 per cent of the equity F&O turnover. Ideally, point out several market analysts, MFs should have been heavy users of the equity F&O market providing more depth and liquidity to it. But they have not taken to using the equity F&O market because a majority of the equity schemes of mutual funds have seen that they can get alpha returns from their cash market investments alone, and so they do not feel the need to protect their equity portfolios using F&O or to implement other investment strategies using F&O which can optimise their returns further.

The stock market regulator, Sebi, plays a major role as an active fiddler in the regulations governing the domestic equity F&O market. In the middle of last year, Sebi ordered that all new equity derivatives contracts getting introduced from the end of August-expiry contracts be subject to a new minimum trading lot size condition of Rs 5 lakh. Earlier, this was Rs 2 lakh.

This had the effect the tripling the minimum lot size in Nifty futures and Nifty options contracts, and turnover in the equity F&O volume fell in the last quarter of calendar 2015. “There were many investors who would take trading positions in just one or two trading lots,” said Bhamre. He said he advised his firm’s clients who still wanted to trade in the higher minimum lot sizes to take their trading to the cash market, they took to trading in options where the premiums cost 1-2 per cent even though they may been trading in futures in the earlier regime.

This has had the effect of pushing the options trading attractiveness still higher, and increasing their notional exposure to the market leading to higher risks from adverse fluctuations. Bhamre and other analysts believe the access to the equity F&O market should not be so restricted.

Cash vs derivatives in equity market
Lower margins and downpayment have inevitably meant higher
notional turnover in F&O






Total turnover (Rs crore)

Cash market Derivatives market Derivatives over cash (times)
FY13 3257000 38697000 11.9
FY14 3348000 47431000 14.2
FY15 5185000 75969000 14.7
FY16 (Apr-Dec) 3724923 50590399 13.6




Figures represent total traded value in the cash market and notional
turnover in the derivatives market
Data covers NSE and BSE





Source: Sebi, NSE, BSE. Analysed by FCRB


A few years back, in 2012, Sebi had tightened the criteria for a stock to be included in the stock F&O list which nearly halved the number of eligible stocks from around 182 to 130. In a research paper presented in December last year by four professors of Indian School Business and University of Southern California analysing the effect of the impact of the criteria change, it was concluded that prices of the excluded stocks, which did not meet the new critiera, were negatively impacted. The research paper argued that this was because when derivatives is allowed in a stock its price efficiency and liquidity increases. The study also concluded that contrary to the expectations of the regulators of cutting undue volatility in individual stocks, volatility largely remained unchanged after their exclusion from the F&O list.

In September last year, a finance ministry-appointed standing council had submitted its report on the international competitiveness of the Indian financial sector. It noted that Singapore’s SGX was the main competitor for Nifty index derivatives. It also said that foreign participation in the Indian equity derivatives markets is hampered by two elements of capital controls, (1) limitations on access and (2) fragmented markets.


India's equity F&O vs world's


Size of Indian equity derivatives market is formidable and compares well with the world total

NSE's share in world total (%) BSE's share in world total (%)

No. of contracts Notional turnover Number of contracts Notional turnover
Index futures 6.0 0.4 Negligible Negligible
Index options 48.7 5.5 4.2 0.9
Stock futures 26.1 27.4 Negligible Negligible
Stock options 3.1 10.6 0.2 0.7
For notional turnover, share is derived from US$ notional value of trades
Source: World Federation of Exchanges. Analysed by FCRB.

In comparing domestic equity derivatives market’s competitiveness with that of SGX the report argued that low position limits in the domestic market constrained participation, especially that of large institutional players. “Position limits in equity derivatives are the higher of USD 83 million or 15% of market OI for futures and options separately. This implies a limit of USD 300 million for index futures and index options each. In comparison, position limits on SGX are USD 345 million on the buy side and the sell side each. While current position limits on NSE are comparable with SGX, stronger participation from domestic institutions and greater investments by domestic financial firms would make the market more robust.”

Clearly, there is more scope for the domestic equity F&O microstructure to transform into a better one and enable it to play the critical role of more efficient risk-transfer and hedging and thereby acting as vital shock absorbers during times of global jitters.
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THE MOST BASIC HEDGING STRATEGY
 

There are innumberable strategies deployed by investors, institutional and retail, in the equity derivatives market. But the most basic and simple of them are just two.

The put options hedge.

In this, the investor protects her portfolio or her holdings in a stock by buying put options on an index or the stock. The idea is to insure against a drop in the price of the portfolio or the stock, and is primarily used when the investor is confident of the fundamental of her portfolio or stock, but feels external market jitters will pull down the value of her portfolio or stock.
 

She seeks the protection for that much time only when she expects the external market shocks to occur. Once the event passes by or fails to occur during that estimated time period she lets her options expire. But till then she keeps rolling over her put options position around the month-end expiry date to the next near-month put options contract.

The cost of the hedge for the investor is the premium she pays to buy the put options which is roughly around 1-2 per cent of the notional value. Other than this cost, and the cost of the brokerage charge, there is no other cost. She gets to keep the entire upside, in case the index or stock does not fall, as she simply lets the options expire un-exercised. Her loss is the 1-2 per cent premium she paid.

If the index or stock does fall or crash, she gets to profit at the rate of the fall by exercising her options, in addition to seeing her portfolio or stock rise in value.

The futures hedge
 

As in the case of the put options hedge, the basic idea to hedge is the same. But there is a difference in the cost and the impact of the hedge.

In this strategy, the investor sells the index—or stock—futures. On the Indian equity F&O market, she pays an initial margin of 10-15 per cent on the value of the trade and also pays marked-to-market losses on her position till the time it is kept open.

Other than the cost of interest loss on the margin payments and the brokerage fee, there is no other cost. If the spot price of the index or stock falls, she profits to the extent of the rate of fall. Thus, her portfolio or stock value is protected from the fall because she is getting reimbursed to the extent of the loss due to the fall in the spot price.

However, if the stock or the index goes up, then she loses to the extent of the rate of price increase. But since the prices have risen, the value of her portfolio or stock has also gone up. So, she is essentially locking in her portfolio or stock at the spot price prevailing at the time of her futures trade.

January 26, 2016

need to level the playing field among students



http://www.outlookindia.com/article/songs-sung-blue/296479

voices
Songs Sung Blue
Dalit students speak of how our universities foster regressive views
Sharat Pradhan, Ajay Sukumaran, Minu Ittyipe, Prachi Pinglay-Plumber

Indian universities seem to be failing in creating an enabling environment for scholars to respect life, liberty and fellow human beings. Closed minds, fixed ideas, a refusal to see opposing viewpoints speak of poor health (and vision) on the campus. It is perhaps not surprising to find out that Hyderabad Central University is not the only place where Dalit students are at the receiving end of deep-rooted prejudice. Universities, it would appear, have ceased to be places where everyone is equal, where ideas thrive and where discussions do not end up in violent clashes. There also seems to be a total breakdown of communication between university officials and students. This is helped no end by growing interference by governments, which believe they have the right to control universities because they fund them. It’s time to see that universities are not ruled by fear and that the system does not breed injustice. Outlook spoke to five Dalit students in the aftermath of the suicide in Hyderabad. This is their story:


Photograph by Nirala Tripathi
“I’ve Been At The Receiving End Of An Orchestrated Campaign”
Shreyat Bouddh, 20
Babasaheb Ambedkar University, Lucknow
After graduating from Allahabad University, when I joined the Baba­saheb Bhimrao Ambedkar Univ­er­sity in Lucknow in 2014, I dreamt of taking my passion for Dalit studies to new heights. So I enrolled for a masters in history with focus on Indian Dalit history, and chose BBAU because it offers special cou­rses related to the downtrodden castes. But I’ve been at the receiving end of what seems an orchestrated campaign against the very ideals propounded by Ambedkar in a central university named after him.
Perhaps it’s sheer coincidence that Hyd­er­abad Central University, where Rohith Vemula committed suicide, is a central university, like this one. But surely it’s no coincidence that officially sponsored discrimination against Dalits is rampant. And it’s no coincidence that our vice-chancellor, Prof R.C. Sobti, and proctor, Prof Kamal Jaiswal, both non-Dalits, openly discriminate against SCs. It’s no coincidence either that three Dalit students, including myself, have been expelled because we raised our voice for Dalit students. But tomorrow, if we are compelled to take the extreme step, it would be regarded as a coincidence.
Trouble began for me when Dalit students objected to the administration naming the university library after Sardar Patel. I backed the protests as part of the Ambe­dkar University Dalit Students Union. We felt it was inappropriate to name anyth­ing in an institution such as BBAU after someone who couldn’t be related to Amb­ed­­kar’s ideology. Our protests were success­ful, and on January 13, 2015, the administration named the library after Gautam Buddha.
But I became a marked man, having been at the forefront of the campaign. I also drew attention when I protested against the university’s decision to hike fees—up to eight times! When you join a government university, you don’t expect to be fleeced. For the affluent, there are private universities, but for poor students like me, fees matter. Around August 16, I was discussing the issue over dinner with fellow-students at the hostel mess when we were assaulted by elite-caste students. I tried to argue that those from poor families, like mine, could not afford it, but faced abusive language against Dalits in general and me in particular. We were beaten up badly but the proctor ignored our written complaint, though he assured us of suitable action and said we mustn’t report the matter to the police. Soon, I realised the attack was sponsored by the administration, which had prodded the elite-caste students to lodge an FIR against me and some other Dalit students. We did approach the police, but they booked us for assaulting those who had in fact beaten us up. Within 48 hours of that, on August 18, I and two Dalit students were served expulsion orders and asked to vacate the hostels. Entry on campus was banned. Since then, our pleadings have fallen on deaf ears and we couldn’t take our semester exams in December.
Now, I live in part of a rented room, paying Rs 1,800 per month. Then there are food expenses. Not at all affordable by father, a retired school-teacher. But he supports me in the hope I’ll get justice.
I had a mind to raise our problem before Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who is scheduled to attend the convocation ceremony of our university on January 22. But feelers were sent to me that if I tried anything like that, the university would have me charged with “anti-nat­ional” or “terrorist” activities.
As told to Sharat Pradhan


Photograph by Kashif Masood
“Inevitably, We Dalits Students Get Branded”
Arjun P, 28
PhD student in the Kannada department, Bangalore University
Last year, we had taken out a protest march from the university campus to Freedom Park (a venue for demonstrations near the secretariat in Bangalore). We were protesting bec­ause the fellowship grants of a few PhD students, including myself, had been held up for over one-and-a-half years.
When nothing came of it, I wrote to the university saying that I would have to consider committing suicide because I was finding it difficult to manage without the fellowship grant. At that time, I didn’t get much support from other students. Only my closest friends stood by me, so I at least had some emotional support. Of course, some teachers also called and advised me, saying that nothing could be achieved by committing suicide.
Perhaps something similar happened in Rohith Vemula’s case. The whole campus could have supported him, because it was after all a student who was facing injustice. I felt very sad on reading his letter.
There are lots of reasons that cause such situations. If I were to hazard a guess about the Rohith Vemula incident—though it is being said that he took the extreme step because of the difficulties he faced as a Dalit student—it’s possible that many Dalits themselves, including students, would have unwittingly contributed to the situation he was in.
We don’t want to be branded as Dalit students, but it inevitably happens most of the time. It happens with friends...bec­ause we stay in a hostel meant for Dalits and so we are already recognised as Dalit students. It’s not students but the administration that has an important role to play here. They should take the initiative to ensure that there is unity because everybody here is educated. If that happens, perhaps there would be no hierarchies among us, or discrimination. At the same time, in every university, there will be some Dalit professors who will not let students mingle. There could be many reasons for that, but many a times it’s also useful for their politics.
Usually, all this doesn’t happen in school, or until the pre-university level, because at that age we wouldn’t be conscious of caste in general. It’s when we come to the undergraduate level, and when we get some social exposure, that these caste issues begin. And later, it gets divided into groups and sub-castes.
I feel that SC/ST cells in universities should be strengthened so that academic problems can be handled better. At the same time, student representatives should also be elected...I do realise this will lead to more politics, but these representatives will be useful in official meetings with the academic council.
As told to Ajay Sukumaran

“I Had To Face Discrimination All On My Own”
Deepa P. Mohanan, 30
Research scholar in nanotechnology, IIUCNN Mahatma Gandhi University, Kottayam
The horror and pain I have experienced has made me want to commit suicide ten times over. I understand the pain Rohith Vemula must have gone through, and although he had the support of four friends, he could not handle it. I had to face my problems alone. I live alone in a PG accommodation with my four-year-old child in Kottayam because my husband works in the Gulf.
Even today I don’t have a chair to sit at the centre. I have to sit in the library and work out of there. Many times, I’ve been thrown out of the bio lab, or locked out so that I cannot work. My problems began after I completed my MPhil at this centre and got into the PhD programme.
For about one-and-a-half years, the joint director of the centre (now the director) started harassing and embarrassing me. Once when I made a PowerPoint presentation, he accused me of plagiarism in front of my fellow students. I stopped and cried because it was my work. Though everyone knew the truth, no one came to my support. My accuser had powerful Left connections. My family has been Left-leaning, so I felt betrayed. Then began the slow harassment. The (then) joint director would ensure I didn’t get study material and locked me out of the lab. I was once locked in the building. I am a heart patient, so I called the police to rescue me. After continuous harassment, I met the pro-VC, and learnt that the joint director had said he wouldn’t show any favour to Dalits because that would lower the discipline of the centre.
After my complaint against the joint dir­ector for throwing me out of the lab to the university syndicate, the pro-VC, the pol­ice, the human rights commission and the women’s commission in March last year, suddenly a group called ‘Porattam’—of which I have never heard or had any connections to—put up posters at the centre, saying the teacher harassing me would be killed. This was clearly an attempt to build a case against me and trap me.
I was quickly labelled a Maoist. A meeting was convened at the centre and the Special Branch police started making inq­uiries in my hometown, my husband’s hometown, my parents’ workplace, my brother-in-law’s workplace. People star­ted talking of me, and often I felt like ending my life. But the support of my husband and close friends kept me going.
The Special Branch has examined my call records for the past 10 years and found nothing. The syndicate members who investigated my case have given a report in my favour, but my tormentor is very powerful. For one-and-a-half years now, I have been walking in and out of police stations, the VC’s office, and even sat on strike instead of doing my research. Today, I still sit in the library though my name has been cleared. I am not a Maoist. I am not any party member either. I am just a student and research scholar.
As told to Minu Ittyipe


Photograph by Amit Haralkar
“Casteism At University? It’s Serious, Yaar!”
Dhammrakshit Randive, 26
MA Theatre Arts, Mumbai University (Now part of Yalgar Sanskrutik Chalval, an activist performing arts group dedicated to cultural politics)
I had always lived in Satara with my parents and brothers. In this place, caste discrimination is handed out only in the traditional manner, as one might expect in rural areas. My father is an Ambe­d­karite folk-singer and works as a Class IV employee. I was protected as a child and my brothers went on to do  MBA and engineering. But when I moved to Mumbai for my masters, I realised that discrimination is very much part of the system.
Rohith Vemula’s suicide affected me for this particular reason. It has shocked us because it shows that nothing is insulated from caste discrimination. At educational institutions, everyone should be treated equally and all students must be res­pected, but we realise that the whole system is actually against us. The officials and teachers are standing in opposition to their own students. What happens in villages is expected at some level—though not acceptable—but still one expects it. But at a university? This is very serious, yaar. This has become very serious.
Most people who are part of the Ambedkar movement protest legally, whether it is organising lectures or demonstrations. But increasingly, the ABVP is getting stronger in Mumbai and they have become politically more active. Especially after the BJP came to power at the state and the Centre. We’ve felt it on the campus too: for example, if we want to organise a programme to discuss the killings of Comrade Pansare or Prof Kalburgi, we do not get permission easily or there is police presence. Not just that, all year round, Hindu festivals are celebrated officially such as Satyanarayan Puja or Ganpati festival. If students like us, from other religions, who do not believe in idol worship, do not participate, we become outsiders.
I am lucky to have family support, but there are so many Dalit students who come from very difficult backgrounds. Most people do not understand their conditions and still comments about reservation are very frequent. “Why do you need reservations?” “Why don’t you stay back in your village?” Such comments. A Facebook post that says open category students study and SC students sleep through the courses was circulated widely. And this happens among friends, let alone strangers or government officials. They are not sensitised and they hurt these students intentionally or uni­ntentionally. Negative posts on FB and Whatsapp are just too frequent.
Also, it is not always possible to argue and debate with them. I believe education should be free for everyone, but caste discrimination is not only about finances. I wish to interact and reach out to more and more people and talk about all this. I will use my theatre training to understand and deconstruct cultural politics. The RSS wants to spread hatred and that is what they are doing. They are successful in polluting minds of common people against the minorities. But Brahminism is not about caste, it is a tool of discrimination. We have to go to every nook and corner and reclaim the diversity advocated by Kabir and Ambedkar. We have to do this for Rohith and we have to do this for human freedom. We need to do this urgently without waiting to decide whether it should be under a red flag or a blue flag.
As told to Prachi Pinglay-Plumber


Photograph by Sandipan Chatterjee
‘Are SCs Not Supposed To Wear Nike Or Such Brands?’
Amrita Howlader, 28
PG in English, Jadavpur University, Calcutta. Currently a research scholar.
The term ‘SC’ was just like any other abbreviation I learnt at school. I could easily club it with abbreviations like PS or CPM. Like the inevitable onset of adolescence and menstruation, I came to the realisation that I belonged to the Scheduled Castes. I had no control over any of those things.
When I got admission to Jadavpur University, everyone at home was both shocked and impressed. But I’d got in through ‘reservation’, and a schoolmate mercilessly drove it home, saying, “If I was an SC, I’d have got through too.” I recall feeling numb, but retorting, “I’m sorry, your forefathers were not exploited enough to get you that honour.” I was angry, hurt, bleeding within.
My close friends were, and continue to be, city-bred Brahmins. It did become a joke, however, that I was from a small town and dressed in a particular way. I remember I had a velvet T-shirt that attracted much amused commentary. But, I thought, had it been manufactured by Gucci, would the comments have changed?
I learnt that in the boys’ hostel, there was a so-called ‘TUMPA group’, the sneering expansion of TUMPA being ‘Typically Uncouth Midnapore Peoples Association’. Everyone from Midnapore became a TUMPA boy, and most of them happened to be from the ‘reserved’ category. The refrain was that TUMPA boys would always get jobs, while the rest would sit and suck their thumbs. General category students who failed exams were never teased or targeted for it.
A senior student once sprang upon me, raging at the SCs in her class. She said they were dimwits who understood nothing, got in because of “fucking” reservations, disrupted lectures with inane questions and would graduate with low second-division marks and described an amazing lecture by a professor that an SC student marred by asking several questions. “But I’m also an SC,” I quietly pointed out. She was taken aback and stared at me for two seconds. “But you don’t look like an SC, you don’t dress like an SC!” she said and walked away.
I distinctly remember that I was wearing a Nike T-shirt. Were SCs not supposed to wear Nike or similar brands, I wondered. Was I to have ‘Mera Baap SC Hai’ tattooed on my forehead?


‘Our Problems Are Just Ignored’
Anish Kumar V K, 32
Research Scholar, Sree Sankaracharya University of Sanskrit, Kalady, Kerala.
Rohit Vemula’s suicide is tragic and it shows the dangerous extent that fascism has spread its tentacles. In the University of Hyderabad, the Ambedkar Students Association members had protested against the hanging of Yakub Memon as a part of their democratic right but they were labelled as "anti-nationals". There is evidence that two central ministers interfered with the independent functioning of the university to have the five dalit students suspended and denied Rohith Vemula his fellowship grant and also had the students expelled from the hostel.
This political interference was a part of the muscle-flexing exercise of the ABVP who probably felt they had lost space to the Dalit students Union and SFI combine last year in the students’ union election. It was specific targeting of these Dalit students because there were protests in many parts of the country against Yakub Memon’s hanging and no action was taken against anyone else. Ambedkar was never an anti-national so how can an association in his name be termed as one?
While suspending the Dalit students, the university did not take into consideration the background of the students or listen to their grievances. One of the biggest issues that Dalit students face is when we give a complaint nothing is done about it. Our problems are just ignored, they are never resolved easily.
The campuses are difficult places for Dalit students. We are often looked down by the academia. There is a general thinking in the campuses that Dalit research scholars do not have the intellectual capacity to analyse and interpret things. The academic community and the university do not see the social reasons if a Dalit student fails to excel. Instead of ridiculing us the academia should find a solution for this. Many of the students may be from such poor backgrounds that they may not even have had the opportunity to read books in their school years. There is a kind of intellectual discrimination. I am a member of the Research Scholars Association and many times we have had to intervene and take up issues with the syndicate. There have been instances when no faculty is willing to become guides for the Dalit research scholars and it had to be taken up with the syndicate. Only then will the faculty agree.
There was an incident when a girl student was denied food in the canteen. The college fees, hostel and mess fees is paid by the state government and since it was late in coming, the university should have paid the hostel and mess fees. But this was not done. The canteen is run by the student body and they denied her food. She however protested and took the food to eat but was surrounded by the other girl students and hooted at. When we arrived we found her cowering in a corner. She then had to move to another hostel.
There was another case of a girl joining for a PG course while her two siblings are already research scholars. She was marginalised and ridiculed by the student community and faculty because naturally she would also follow her sisters and become a research scholar. That meant the government would be paying the fees of three children from one family and that led to vicious anger towards her. No one considered that they were from a poor background and were being brought up solely by their mother. In the end she discontinued her studies and joined another course.

The last item by Anish Kumar V K is a web extra and does not appear in the print version of the magazine.

mrf results analysis

My analysis of MRF's latest quarter results and long-term trend in financial performance:




MRF will need better management of challenges from Chinese competition and benefits from raw material cost decline to optimise volumes growth

MRF, the largest domestic tyre manufacturer in the country, reported a fall of 2.9 per cent 3 per cent in its stand-alone net sales in the December 2015 quarter to Rs 3,256 crore, compared to the same quarter a year ago. The profit after tax grew by 19.9 per cent to Rs 388 crore.

The tyre company saw the share price of MRF drop sharply, from Rs 37,708 to 35,659 at close to 2.50 pm, in a just few minutes after it announced its latest quarter results to the stock exchanges. The stock closed the day with a loss of 0.7 per cent at Rs 36,010, compared to the previous trading day.

In a flash research update note on Monday, B&K Securities analysts said that MRF reported weak revenue figures due to recent price cuts, weak truck & bus replacement demand and competition from Chinese imports.

The cost of raw materials consumed by the tyre company came down on by 11 per cent on a year-on-year basis in the December 2015 quarter. This helped MRF protect its operating profit margin to 23.4 per cent in the latest quarter, compared to the previous two quarters when it was 23.9 per cent (June quarter) and 25.7 per cent (September quarter).

According to Mayur Milak, research analyst at Anand Rathi Securities, the main pressure before tyre companies was to do with volumes growth since there is weak replacement demand and stiff competition from Chinese tyres.

The long-term numbers indicated that MRF had scope to shore up its volumes growth if its price cuts get aggressive. From the December 2014 onwards, MRF has seen a YoY fall in the cost of raw materials consumed in every quarter. Take a look at the YoY rate of fall in the raw materials cost – 2.6 per cent in December 2014 quarter, 12.6 per cent (March 2015), 8.6 per cent (June 2015), 8.6 per cent (September 2015) and 10.7 per cent in the latest December 2015 quarter.

Challenges grow for MRF
Yearly growth rates show erratic long-term trend
Net sales (YoY % growth)PAT (YoY % growth) Net Sales (Rs cr)PAT (Rs cr)
20120914.3168.82992165
2012125.259.6
201303-2.940.3
2013061.457.2
2013095.211.7
2013125.7-0.2
20140313.5-18.9
2014069.41.3
2014096.872.1
2014124.879.8
2015030.494.7
2015066.094.1
201509-1.045.4
201512-2.919.93256388
Source: Capitaline, Company filing. Analysed by FCRB
 

The company did not reveal the details of the trend in the selling price of its tyres for the 2-wheeler and truck-cum-bus segments, and it is difficult to ascertain exactly how much of the raw material cost reduction is being passed on to the consumers and how much is it able to compete with the Chinese tyres in the market. The raw material cost to net sales ratio of MRF has come down significantly from 60-66 per cent levels in the four quarters upto December 2014 to 51-57 per cent levels in the last four quarters.

In terms of profitability, the tyre company’s yearly growth rate of 19.9 per cent in the December 2015 quarter was the lowest in the last six quarters. But the PAT margins have grown in these quarters from 9.4 per cent (September 2014 quarter) to 13.8 per cent (September 2015 quarter). The latest quarter’s PATM saw a slippage to 11.9 per cent.

In Monday’s financial results disclosure, as a note to accounts, MRF disclosed that it had not made any provision yet for stocks damaged due to recent floods in Chennai, as the company was still assessing the damage.

The B&K research update noted that its concerns on excess capacity in truck and bus segment bias remained for all the tyre companies. “In our view, in short to medium term, MRF is better placed than other domestic peers due to high exposure to  less competitive 2W tyre market and relatively less exposure to TBR, in which currently there is surge in import from China,” it said.



http://epaper.mydigitalfc.com/articledetailpage.aspx?id=4628317





January 19, 2016

speed of results disclosure: a sign of....

How nifty is your company in disclosing its quarterly results: http://www.mydigitalfc.com/companies/speed-results-tells-corporate-governance-701

high gross margins not sustainable: asian paints

My analysis of Asian Paints Q3, FY16, results:


Asian Paints painted a rosy picture in its latest quarter financials by reporting the strongest yearly sales growth in the last five quarters. On Monday, the paints company, which is a constituent in the Nifty 50 index, announced its third quarter (December 2015 quarter) results for the current financial year 2015-16 (FY16).

In the third quarter, Asian Paints’ consolidated operating income shot up by 13.9 per cent to Rs 4,160 crore compared to the year-ago quarter. In the previous two quarters of FY16, the company had seen muted year-on-year growth rates of 7.8 per cent (first quarter) and 4.0 per cent (second quarter).

The last time when the operating income had seen double-digit YoY growth was in the second quarter of FY15 when it was 16.6 per cent.

The December 2015 quarter the Diwali season effect on the company’s sales was present while it was not present in the year-ago quarter. Combining the September and December quarters of FY16, the consolidated operating income growth rate, over the aggregate of the two year-ago quarters, was 9.0 per cent. This growth rate was lower than the corresponding 2-quarter aggregate growth rate in FY15 when it was 10.9 per cent, and previous years growth rates when it was 15.6 per cent (FY14) and 17.8 per cent (FY13).

The adjusted profit after tax, as per Capitaline database, of Asian Paints, shot up by 35.4 per cent to Rs 499 crore in the third quarter, on a YoY basis. This was the highest yearly growth rate seen in any quarter in the last nine quarters. It was in the second quarter of FY14, when Asian Paints had seen a yearly growth rate of 36.7 per cent.

Our analysis suggests that the company appeared to have heavily used its strong brand image to its advantage by not acceding much ground on the pricing front inspite of sharp fall in raw material costs. This meant the sales value growth kept a decent pace with the growth in its volume sales.

This was reflected in the continuing sharp growth in the company’s gross margins over the last several quarters. In the latest quarter, the consolidated gross margin (ratio of operating income minus cost of raw materials consumer to operating income) stood at 54.1 per cent, which was possibly at a record high or at least the highest in the last 19 quarters at the very minimum. In the year-ago quarter of December 2014, the gross margin stood at 49.1 per cent.

In a conference call with analysts on Monday evening, the company management was, however, categorical that the high level of gross margins was clearly not sustainable going forward. The company management claimed that there was no change in the pricing of its products. It pointed out that the newly acquired Ethiopian business had shown strong gross margins in the last one year, and domestic joint ventures had also seen strong margins expansion.


Hdg: Asian Paints Q3 results



Intro: Sales growth in double digits for first time in FY16 in Q3








Oct-Dec 2015 (Rs crore) YoY (%) Apr-Dec 2015 (Rs crore) YoY (%)






Operating income 4169 10.3 11562 8.6
EBIDTA# 728 32.4 1892 28.1
EBIDTA margin (%) 17.5 20.0 16.4 18.0
Adj. Profit after Tax 463 16.0 1318 25.0
APATM* (%) 11.1 5.2 11.4 15.2






Figures represent consolidated financials


#Profit before interest, depreciation, taxation and ammortisation
* adjusted PAT margin









Source: Company filings, Capitaline. Analysed by FC Research Bureau

Analysts, however, maintain that very high gross margins would tempt more international competition to enter the domestic paints market, and could hurt Asian Paints growth prospects in the future if that happens.

In the conference call with analysts, the company management did not disclose the exact impact of the approximately 30 per cent fall in the crude oil prices in the December 2015 quarter on its raw material costs. It only said that the company imports crude derivatives and not crude oil per se, and that the crude derivatives prices are determined by global demand-supply conditions in crude derivatives and not just by the level of crude price.

The company management disclosed that in its domestic retail segment, it was seeing considerably higher growth in smaller towns than the big cities. It said that while the southern India heavy rains in November and December affected their southern region business, it did not have a major impact on its all-India sales growth. 


http://www.mydigitalfc.com/companies/asian-paints-reports-strongest-sales-numbers-five-quarters-781