Welcome to the blog of Rajesh Gajra a living being on the Earth plane. I hope you find it worthwhile to observe the parts of my journey this lifetime that I share here. The posts on the articles as a journalist in this blog are mostly the raw copies I submit. These undergo vetting and editing before getting published. Hence, these raw copies must not be attributed to the companies I work/worked for.
July 28, 2017
ETF assets size to rise from EPF's 225-bln-rupee investment in FY18
(From exactly 5 years ago) An editorial on abuse of double taxation avoidance treaties
https://natant.blogspot.in/2012/07/life-in-financial-markets-abuse-of.html ...
July 28, 2012
July 20, 2017
An old interview with C.B.Bhave when was the NSDL chief
I was working in Outlook Money magazine at that time.
The interview:
This is not something that is unusual. There are umpteen examples of public service areas where this principle is followed. Take telephone for example. If you make one call, whether you are Ratan Tata or an ordinary man you pay the same thing because the telephone company says look my costs relating to how big an exchange I put up is not related to who is making this conversation and what is the content of the conversation. We are in this kind of a paradigm. Commercially, it is a correct principle to relate your pricing to cost. Otherwise, you could get hit. Let us assume, in my system I have two crore demat positions and lets say I get two crore transactions. Its possible to imagine a scenario where another 50 lakh investors join me who create two crore demat positions which means I have to double my capacity. The number of transactions, let say, doubles to four crore. But the value of these additions could be one-hundredth of the earlier positions and transactions. So though I double my capacity and incur high costs I will get a revenue which is much less if I charge on the value. I will be forced to increase the charge to the market because I have to meet those costs. It will be ridiculous to explain to the market that my business has doubled and I am increasing my charge.
June 13, 2017
What's happening in Madhya Pradesh wrt rule of law
"napm india" <napmindia@gmail.com>
Date: Jun 13, 2017 6:09 PM
Subject: Press Note | June 13, 2017: Leading Activists Found Shocking Anarchy in Madhya Pradesh leading to and following Death of Farmers in Police Firing & Torture
To:
Cc:
> Press Note on Mandsaur Police Firing : 13th of June
> New Delhi | June 13, 2017: Following a call given by Jai Kisan Andonlan of Swaraj Abhiyan, NAPM, Kisan Sangharsh Samiti of MP, Bandhua Mukti Morcha and several farmer organisations, a delegation of their representatives went to visit Mandsaur in Madhya Pradesh where 7 farmers were killed in a police firing on 6th of June. The delegation comprised about 25 representatives from Gujarat, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, Bihar, UP, Haryana, Rajasthan and Delhi, besides local farmers and farmer leaders. These included Ms. Medha Patkar, Swami Agnivesh, Dr. Sunilam, Paras Saklecha, Kalpana Parulekar, Avik Saha, Ajit Singh, Balakrishnan and Yogendra Yadav.
>
> What follows are some of the key observations made by this delegation.
>
> Law & Order, Legal & Human Rights – Nightmarish Situation
>
> · Democratic Rights & Human Rights at an unbelievable low in MP – Constitution & Laws of India seem not to apply here – has it ceded from the Union of India?
>
> · Police & Civil Administration of Ratlam District keep strong surveillance on, illegally stop (from visiting Mandsaur) & arrest activists like Medha Patkar, Swami Agnivesh, Yogendra Yadav & Avik Saha, with lifelong adherence to peace and non-violence, on ground of breach of peace!!
>
> · In agitation-free Neemuch District, police illegally prevent Yogendra Yadav, Dr. Sunilam, Avik Saha & Ajit Yadav from interacting with villagers; use sheer brute force to push them out of MP into Rajasthan
>
> · Delegation interacts with farmer leaders and activists and finds complete break-down of rule of law; reign of terror as Districts affected by and surrounding locations of farmers agitation cordoned off and jungle law implemented
>
> · Independent persons and agencies barred entry while full might of state appears to be influencing & torturing witnesses to the murder of farmers by police, causing disappearance of material evidence and running an extortion racket by intimidation
>
>
> Probable Background Causes of Present Situation – Deep Rooted & Long Neglected Life & Livelihood Issues of Farmers
>
> · Already un-remunerative and further downward spiraling prices of all produce (Report annexed), despite MP reporting highest agricultural growth in the country and winning prizes, seems to have lead to wide spread discontent; State Government's inaction in this crisis fuelled unrest
>
> · Non-fulfillment of ruling BJP's Manifesto promise of 50% profit above cost price compounded with the slow down of purchasing power of traders in mandis due to demonetisation completed the cycle of despair, disillusionment and discontent
>
> · Local reports complained of extreme bureaucracy at mandis & looming threat of disentitlement of rights; e.g. compulsory registration of seller-farmers only through Aadhar, downgrading of ration entitlement under PDS ration if sales above 50 quintals made, 50% payment through bank, which forthwith deducts all loans
>
> · Drought of 2 consecutive years have severely depleted the MP farmers and have led to the 4th highest farmers' suicides in the country in 2015; with added pressure of loan repayment and almost 50% price fall in produce, farmers have reached the end of their tether
>
> · Non-payment & whimsical small payments of insurance for crop loss made farmers desperate for redressal of their financial grievances
>
> Murder of Farmers by State of Madhya Pradesh
>
> · Since the State has already admitted that firing was done without any formal order and without following due process, the death of farmers in police firing is nothing but murder by machinery of state
>
> · The heinous and brutal killing of a farmer by beating and torture in the hands of police, after the gunning down of 5 farmers, is unbelievably shocking & can only be termed state sponsored terrorism
>
> · It is sad to note that Madhya Pradesh has learnt no lesson from the findings of the Commissions that investigated the Multai Firing during Congress regime, when 23 farmers were brutally gunned down; Again, there was no dialogue with the protestors before firing; such dialogue could have easily prevented this unnecessary loss of life
>
>
> We Demand
>
> · The State of Madhya Pradesh must immediately ensure remunerative price for all crops grown in Madhya Pradesh in fulfillment of the promise made by BJP in its manifesto (cost + 50%) and also ensure guaranteed purchase of the produce through market stabilization funds and other mechanisms; agriculture is a state subject and Madhya Pradesh, like Karnataka can ensure relief for farmers through agriculture price commission and allied statutory interventions
>
> · We demand that farmers of Madhya Pradesh be given a one-time waiver of all loans, which, coupled with remunerative prices, will pull them out of the vicious cycle of debt and death though debt-trap
>
> · The State of Madhya Pradesh must immediately, in consultation with farmers organizations (1) appoint an Independent Commission headed by a sitting High Court Judge (2) prepare comprehensive TOR of the Commission to go into all circumstances that lead to the murder of farmers by police firing
>
> · The State of Madhya Pradesh must immediately register murder case against all policemen and administrative officers who ordered firing on farmers and executed the order
>
> · The State of Madhya Pradesh must immediately withdraw all cases registered against farmers in connection with the Farmers Movement in Madhya Pradesh during 1st to 10th June 2017
>
> · The State of Madhya Pradesh must immediately ensure that comprehensive crop insurance is provided for all crops grown in Madhya Pradesh and not just a few crops as presently stipulated under the PMFBY
>
> · Opposition parties like the Congress who have extended support to the farmers must establish their credential by ensuring that in the states of Punjab and Karnataka, where they are in power, there is no shooting on and killing of farmers, MSP at cost + 50% is given in terms of the recommendation of the Swaminathan Commission and all loans of farmers are waived
the&
> National Alliance of People's Movements
> National Office : 6/6, Jangpura B, Mathura Road, New Delhi 110014
> Phone : 011 24374535 Mobile : 09818905316
> Web : www.napm-india.org | napmindia@gmail.com
> Facebook : www.facebook.com/NAPMindia
> Twitter : @napmindia
June 11, 2017
Brokerage firms' Jan-Mar performance
Institutional brokerages Jan-Mar PAT growth better than retail firms
Profits of large domestic brokerage firms with a heavy dependence on retail clients fell in Jan-Mar even as those with a decent institutional clientele saw profits rise.
During the quarter, trading turnover rose across the board on stock exchanges.
The mixed performance of large brokerage firms followed a slide in the profits across the board in the December quarter.
Cash market turnover on the National Stock Exchange of India rose 20% on quarter to 14.38 trln rupees in Jan-Mar, which was much better compared to the 10% on-quarter decline seen in Oct-Dec.
Key factors driving up stock market trading volumes were a sharp rise in benchmark equity indices and increase in trading activity by institutional investors.
Investor sentiments picked up in Jan-Mar after the previous quarter had seen it taking a big hit. The December quarter had seen subdued stock market activity due to the demonetisation-induced fall in corporate earnings in many sectors. Also, foreign funds outflow in Oct-Dec, on the back of uncertainties around Donald Trump's win in the US presidential elections.
Net inflow by foreign portfolio investors in the equity cash market was 365 bln rupees in Jan-Mar, compared with a net outflow of 343 bln rupees in Oct-Dec.
On gross turnover basis, an indicator of overall trading activity, FPIs traded more in Jan-Mar.
The sum of FPIs' purchases and sales rose 16% on quarter to 6.44 trln rupees in Jan-Mar. This was an improvement over the 5% on-quarter fall in the previous quarter.
Net inflow of mutual funds into the cash market fell 64% on quarter to 115 bln rupees in Jan-Mar. But they still fueled the trading momentum in the stock market as their gross cash market turnover--sum of purchases and sales--shot up by 31% on quarter to 2.34 trln rupees during the March quarter.
The equity derivatives market of the NSE too, saw total turnover rise by 11% on quarter to 276.24 trln rupees in Jan-Mar. NSE makes up for over 99% of all equity derivatives trading in the country,
BSE's cash market turnover jumped up 132% on quarter to 4.23 bln rupees in Jan-Mar, which stock market analysts was aided in a big part by bulk trades involving transfer of shares by promoters.
In the previous quarter, BSE had seen it cash market turnover fall 12% on quarter to 1.82 trln rupees.
BROKERAGES' PROFITS
Out of four large brokerage firms, for which Jan-Mar earnings data was available from their listed parent companies, two firms recorded on-quarter rise in profit from broking activities while two firms saw it fall on quarter.
All these four brokerage firms saw a 9-14% on-quarter fall in profit in the December quarter.
ICICI Securities, which operates ICICIdirect, the largest online retail broking platform in the country, is pre-dominantly dependant on revenues from its retail clients.
The firm saw its net profit decline 6% to 830 mln rupees in Jan-Mar. It was, however, less severe than the 11% on-quarter fall in net profit recorded by the brokerage firm in the previous quarter.
Faring better was Kotak Securities, having a decent institutional business along with national retail operations. The firm's net profit in Jan-Mar stood at 1.21 bln rupees, up sharply from 850 mln rupees in Oct-Dec.
Kotak Securities' net profit had fallen 11% on quarter in Oct-Dec. Revenues rose 28% on quarter to 3.67 bln rupees in Jan-Mar.
According to the firm, the firm had 1.4 mln secondary market customers at the end of March, up from 1.3 mln rupees a quarter ago. The number of its branchises and franchises, however, declined to 1,281 from 1,300.
Edelweiss Financial Services Ltd carries out equity broking operations through its subsidiary, Edelweiss Broking, and also has a significant institutional business. The firm also other subsidiaries, including one into commodity broking business.
In Jan-Mar, the subsidiaries of Edelweiss Financial, collectively clocked a net profit of 400 mln rupees, up 29% from the previous quarter. Their collective revenues rose 12% to 2.49 bln rupees during the March quarter.
Retail-oriented brokerage firm, Motilal Oswal Securities, earned 1.98 bln rupees as revenue from broking activities in Jan-Mar, up 8% from the December quarter, according to an earnings presentation of the parent company, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, which is listed on the stock exchanges.
The broking firm said the March quarter saw disproportionate high cash volumes in the market due to large-scale inter-promoter transfers.
This led to a muted revenue growth during the quarter and the broking firm's net profit fell to 180 mln rupees in Jan-Mar from 214 mln rupees in Oct-Dec recording a 16% decline.
In the December quarter, Motilal Oswal Securities had seen its net profit fall by a lower degree of 9% on quarter.
These four broking firms are among the top 20 broking firms in terms of numbers of unique client codes held with the NSE. Every investor account of a brokerage firm carries a unique client code at the time of transacting on the stock exchanges.
Data from NSE showed that as on Apr 30, these four brokerage firms had 1.20 mln unique client codes, accounting for around 26% of aggregate across all NSE brokerage firms.
All in all, the March quarter saw an across-the-board rise in turnover on the stock exchanges and institutional investors traded more than they did in the previous quarter.
But since retail investors were not as active as the institutional investors during the quarter, the brokerage firms with heavy reliance on retail clients did not do as well as those with a better retail-institutional mix of business.
June 09, 2017
Flows in balanced MF schemes increase multi-fold in Jan-May
Flows in balanced MF schemes increase multi-fold in Jan-May
Flows into balanced schemes of mutual funds have shown extra-ordinary growth in the last three years, with the first five months of the current calendar year witnessing more net inflow than in the whole of last year.
May 11, 2017
Citizens of India have a right towards genuine Election process
http://www.thecitizen.in/index.php/NewsDetail/index/2/10637/90-Seconds-Is-All-It-Takes-Delhi-Assemb
"...there are also substantial number of well informed scientists and technologists who believe that even those machines which are stand alone, not networked and hardwired, as an Indian EVM is, can be tampered with. These are well-intentioned people, they want to save and strengthen democracy. They cannot be treated as criminals or enemies. If this attitude is not changed we will progressively weaken the Indian democracy, and people will lose trust in their vote. A change of attitude is required...."
Very true.
Its not about AAP, BSP, Congress or any other party asking questions to Election Commission on the tamepring of EVMs.
It is first and foremost to us, the citizens of this country, to whom the Election Commission needs to prove beyond all doubts that the EVMs can not be tampered illegally by vested political and corporate interests.
And, if the Election Commission of India can not convince us citizens then we have every right to expect the voting in all elections in the country to take place only through physical ballots.
The Election Commission of India needs to get this clear -- THE CITIZENS HAVE AN ABSOLUTE RIGHT TO KNOW WHETHER THEIR VOTE IS GOING TO THE PERSON WHOM THEY VOTED FOR
May 01, 2017
Growth trend in TCS-Infosys verticals' annual EBIT margins
Segment dynamics weigh on TCS and Infosys margins growth
Over the last 4-5 quarters the stock market has accepted the grim reality of sluggish revenue growth in the information technology sector on the back of slowdown in business from banking and financial services clients as well as those from the retail and consumer major challenges and events.
There are also expectations of hi-tech and telecom business driving the growth engine of the software companies. Upsides from high end digital and next gen services offerings are expected by most analysts from the large software companies in the long term.
But how did past expectations play out last year. A fine reading of segment-wise margin numbers of the two largest Indian software companies, Infosys Ltd and Tata Consultancy Services Ltd, whose Jan-Mar quarter results are out, brings out interesting revelations.
Breaking down the segment-wise EBIT margin numbers shows Infosys and TCS getting better EBIT margins in 2016-17 from their manufacturing and retail verticals as compared to the previous year, according to an analysis of segment results data.
On the other hand, the EBIT margins fell in the verticals of banking and financial services, energy and utlities, communication and hi-tech for the two software majors.
The net impact was adverse since manufacturing and retail verticals had a 27% revenue share in both the companies while banking and financial services, energy and utilities, communication and hi-tech verticals together ha 57% revenue share each in Infosys and TCS.
Analysts have downgraded earnings growth for TCS since it delivered an earnings before interest and tax margin of 25.7% in 2016-17 (Apr-Mar) which was lower that the company’ stated EBIT margin guidance band of 26-28%.
Infosys' performance has invited similar reactions from the analyst community so far. Axis Capital said in its post-results research note that Infosys' margins performance in Jan-Mar and its lowered guidance for 2017-18 were below the brokerage firm's expectations.
The EBIT margin from the manufacturing vertical rose on year to 24.6% from 22.5% for Infosys, and to 28.6% from 26.8% for TCS, in 2016-17, an analysis of segment results data from Cogencis Corporate Fundamental Database showed. The earnings before interest and tax margin was considered as the operating margin in the analysis of the segment-wise financials.
Revenue from manufacturing clients accounted for 11% of total revenues for both the major software companies. The retail and consumer vertical also delivered better operating margins for Infosys and TCS in 2016-17 as compared to the previous year.
However, in terms of on-year revenue growth in 2016-17 this vertical, which contributed nearly 17% each to Infosys’ and TCS’s total revenue, saw growth fall more sharply as compared to 2015-16 compared to most other verticals.
Traditional retailers in developed markets, the main clients for the large Indian software companies, have undergone challenging times in the last one year.
Deceleration in retail and consumer vertical weighted on overall growth for 2016-17 for TCS, said Prabhudas Lilladher brokerage in its research note.
TCS, analysts said, has already cautioned of structural headwinds in this vertical going forward.
In the case of Infosys, Axis Capital noted that for Infosys retail and consumer vertical was likely to remain soft with volatile performance throughout 2017-18. "Despite headwinds, opportunity exists around data analytics, legacy transformation and digital initiatives," the brokerage firm noted.
The 2016-17 performance of the banking and financial services vertical, the biggest contributor to revenues for both the companies, was hit the hardest, due to caution in spending by the large global banking and financial service clients.
For TCS, the EBIT margin from coming from this vertical, which contributed 41% of the company's revenues, declined sharply to 27.6% in 2016-17 from 29.1% in the previous year.
In its post Jan-Mar quarter results interaction with analysts, TCS tried to allay concerns for the banking and financial services vertical. The company attributed the on-quarter decline in revenue in Jan-Mar from this vertical to the closure of one project and said it was confident of pick-up in growth from Apr-Jun quarter of 2017-18 itself, according to a post-results research note by IDBI Capital.
Infosys, which had 27% of 2016-17 revenues coming from banking and financial services vertical, has said recently that it is more optimistic on the US markets given the rate hikes which it expects would lead to an uptick in budgets of banking and finance clients in Jul-Dec.
"In Europe, (Infosys) management sees opportunity from catch-up exercise by banks (they are behind the curve in tech adoption), and (from) the under penetration in Europe," said Axis Capital in its research note.
The energy and utilities vertical hit Infosys' EBIT margins hard in 2016-17 as the margin from the vertical fell to 28.7% from 29.7%.
For Infosys, margins from its hi-tech vertical also came under a lot of pressure. The EBIT margin recorded a sharp decline to 24.9% in 2016-17 from 26.6% in 2015-16. Expectations from analysts were high from this segment, but performance on the ground did not match up.
With slowdown in revenue growth being the expected norm in 2017-18, it will be the margin trajectory which will hold the key for the two largest Indian software companies.